Hello hockey world,
with the Western Conference divisions examined in full, it's time to see what
the East has in store. This week I will start with the Northeast. Once the
previews are over and done with, hockey should (hopefully) be right around the
corner. Stay tuned to my top 5 breakout players, top 5 bounce back and if there
is indeed a lockout I will be discussing more of the business side of the game
regarding the CBA.
With three Original
Six teams in the division, including hockey meccas in Toronto and Montreal, the
Northeast is always in the focus of the
hockey world. This year will be no different, especially with big changes for
the Canadiens. Here's how I see things playing out:
Boston
Bruins
2011/2012 Rank: 2
Offseason
Moves:
In - Jordan Caron,
Anton Khudobin, Dougie Hamilton
Out - Tim Thomas,
Benoit Pouliot, Joe Corvo, Greg Zanon
After entering last
year's playoffs as the defending Stanley Cup Champions, the Bruins looked
poised for another deep run in the playoffs. However, they ran into a Dale
Hunter coached Capitals team that played a stingy defensive game and limited
their chances. The series went to game 7 and in overtime a controversial goal
from Joel Ward ended the Bruins season. While there was disappointment in
Beantown, Bruins fans still have a lot to look forward to next year. Young star
Tyler Seguin led the team last season with 67 points and looks to continue to
live up to his billing of 2nd overall in
2010. On D the team has one of the best in the league in Zdeno Chara, though it
is possible he only has a few more good years left in him. Lucky for the
Bruins, they will likely have top prospect Dougie Hamilton joining the fray
this year and he should pick up some helpful tips from the 2009 Norris Trophy
winner. In fact, the only players Boston will be adding to their lineup this
season have all been home grown - a testament to the impressive organizational
depth which few teams can match.
For almost any other
team in the league, losing the Vezina and Conn Smythe winner from two seasons
ago would be a disaster. Yet for the Bruins the change should go almost
unnoticed; and may in fact lead to a better dressing room environment. Despite
his strong play on the ice, Tim Thomas has given the team headaches in the
public eye the last few seasons and him taking the year off could mean one less
distraction for his teammates - and could even help improve the team if a trade
comes around. It helps when you have someone with the talent and experience
like Tuuka Rask has to step in and replace him. Even in his limited time in the
NHL, backup Anton Khudobin has put up nothing less than a 0.942sv%. The Bruins
will remain the class of the Northeast, taking the division quite handily.
Why they'll make it - Impressive depth and
talent throughout their lineup, few weak spots
Why they'll miss - Long term injury to Tuuka
Rask and/or Zdeno Chara
Buffalo
Sabres
2011/2012 Rank: 9 (3
points out)
Offseason
Moves:
In - Steve Ott,
Kevin Porter, Adam Pardy, John Scott
Out - Derek Roy,
Jochen Hecht
The Sabres made some
noise this offseason when they traded center Derek Roy to the Stars in exchange
for Steve Ott and Adam Pardy. While I think the team sold Roy a little short
and could have gotten another piece, the addition of Steve Ott will be felt -
mostly by opponents. As a fan of a Western Conference team, I am glad to see
this guy go East. He is another player the Sabres have that you love to have on
your team but hate playing against. This makes them somewhat unique in the
Eastern Conference and can now compete with the Bruins when it comes to overall
toughness. However, the move leaves the team very young and inexperienced up
the middle. The Cody Hodgson deal at the deadline allowed the Sabres to move
Roy, and he will now take on the task of the team's #1 C. This is a lot of
pressure, but with a great group of wingers like Pominville and Vanek to play
between Hodgson, he won't have to do it alone. Their other top 9 centers will
likely be Tyler Ennis and one of Luke Adam or their recent draft picks
Grigorenko or Girgensons - I told you they are young up the middle, but have a
lot of promise.
On the back end the
team will hope to remain healthy this year, and will be counting on Tyler Myers
to return to Calder form. For me, the real key to success for the Sabres will
be the play of Ryan Miller. As it has been since he took over the starting job
in Buffalo, the team goes as he does. After the high expectations that come
with a new owner and a high priced team, the Sabres stumbled in the first half
of the season mainly because of Miller's play. He got things together in the
second half of the season and led the Sabres to a late season run for the
playoffs, but they fell just short. If he can play more consistently next year
(and he has the ability of stealing the show), then I see the Sabres getting
over that hump and into a playoff position.
Why they'll make it - Strong overall depth and
toughness, Myers and Miller's play rebounds
Why they'll miss - Inexperience and lack of
depth up the middle
Montreal
Canadiens
2011/2012 Rank: 15
(14 points out)
Offseason
Moves:
In - Brandon Prust,
Colby Armstrong, Francis Bouillon
Out - Chris Campoli
After a dreadful
season that saw them finish 3rd last in the league, the Canadiens made big
changes to their front office bringing in first time GM Marc Bergevin (formerly
Chicago's assistant GM). In his first major move to change the philosophy of
the team, he reinstated former Canadiens head coach Michel Therrien. In a media
frenzy city like Montreal, this move has been criticized and supported, but
only time will tell to see if he was the right choice. To his credit, this is a
very different Montreal team with much more reasonable expectations. The
Canadiens are at the beginning of a much needed rebuild, but are still trying
to ice a competitive team, as seen from the signings of Prust, Armstrong and
Bouillon. They still have some issues to sort out though. Scott Gomez continues
to be the teams biggest liability with a 7.35 mil cap hit for 11 points in 38
games last season. In fact, after Max Pacioretty and Tomas Plekanec, there are
very few forwards that can chip in offensively. David Desharnais had a very
nice year, but I question his staying power as a top six centerman with a
height of only 5'7. I am a huge fan of Lars Eller, but it is unrealistic to
expect any huge offensive numbers from the youngster yet - if ever. The rest of
the forward crop is full of 3rd line guys who are known more for using their
hands to fight than to score. I know they still have Cole and Bourque, but they
are inconsistent and cannot be counted on to contribute night after night.
The biggest question
mark surrounding this team will be the health of Andrei Markov. His impact is
so important that his health could mean a 2-3 place swing in the standings for
Montreal. I am not counting on him playing a full season because he is 34 and
hasn't played over 45 games since the 2009 season. However, with Kaberle,
Subban, Gorges and the newly added Bouillon they should be okay even without
Markov. Carey Price will do his thing in net, and continue to be the team's
best and most counted on player. Because of the lack of an offensive star and
Markov's questionable health, I have the Canadiens near the bottom of the
conference for a second straight year.
Why they'll make it - Markov plays the entire
season, Subban steps up, players click under Therrien's system
Why they'll miss - Lack of offensive strength,
inexperience on the blue line, players have trouble adapting to new system
Ottawa
Senators
2011/2012 Rank: 8
Offseason
Moves:
In - Guillaume
Latendresse, Jakob Silfverberg, Marc
Methot
Out - Nick Foligno,
Filip Kuba, Bobby Butler, Matt Carkner
The Sens were the
surprise team in the East last season, and their strong play earned them a spot
in the playoffs. They gave the 1st
seeded Rangers a run for their money and even had them on the brink of
elimination, but their inexperience showed when they lost two straight games to
end their season. A lot of things went right for the Sens last year, including
young star Erik Karlsson winning the Norris Trophy for best defenseman. I think
it should have gone to Shea Weber (as he actually plays on the PK), but that's
neither here nor there. Bottom line, Ottawa fans have a young and exciting team
to cheer for. Because the team was such a surprise, I think they will fall back
down to Earth this year and experience some of the growing pains that come with
a young team. If healthy, Latendresse is a nice pick up for the team and should
add some grit and skill on the wing. Silfverberg is a highly touted rookie, and
playing with Spezza will give him all the opportunity to succeed but it is
always difficult to predict how a player will adjust to the unfamiliar North
American ice. Turris should continue to develop and chip in some secondary
offense, but I wouldn't expect a full season from Alfy or a duplicate of what
Milan Michalek did last year.
Karlsson leads a
very well rounded defence, and Methot is a dependable addition. But beyond
Methot there are very few players in the prime of their careers. Karlsson and
Cowen, while very skilled and promising, are still young and prone to mistakes
and inconsistency. On the other end of the spectrum, Phillips and Gonchar are
well passed their primes and on the downswing of their careers. I'm not saying
that everything will go wrong on D, just that there is a potential weak spot on
the team if the youngsters struggle and experienced guys decline. In net, the
Sens have a solid, but unspectacular group led by enigmatic Craig Anderson. We
have seen Anderson steal the show in both Ottawa and Colorado, but we have also
seen him become unravelled in his second year with the Avalanche. Being still
relatively new to a number 1 role in the NHL, we will see which Anderson
decides to show up. I see the Sens experiencing some growing pains this year
resulting with them on the outside looking in, but still an exciting team to
watch out for in the future.
Why they'll make it - Youngsters continue
strong play and don't falter, Spezza stays healthy and Anderson stays solid
Why they'll miss - Anderson& young guys
show flashes of brilliance, but not on a regular basis
Toronto
Maple Leafs
2011/2012 Rank: 13
(12 points out)
Offseason
Moves:
In - Jay McClement,
James Van Riemsdyk
Out - Luke Schenn,
Joey Crabb, Jonas Gustavsson
The Maple Leafs
boast the title of being the only team in the league not to make the playoffs
since the lockout. This is unacceptable from the most profitable team with the
largest fan base in the league. Their reign of mediocrity has been well
documented, and the God send Brian Burke has not yet been able to turn this
team around in his four years as general manager. Last season, the Leafs seemed
to be well on their way to breaking the streak with star winger Phil Kessel
having a breakout season and Joffrey Lupul having a career year. They were
riding high until James Reimer sustained a long term injury and they could not
prevent more goals than they were scoring. I was extremely surprised that Burke
did not get a goaltender at the deadline when the team was still very much in
the playoff hunt. It was their clear weakness and might have saved the year. I
say this, and to this day the goaltending issue has not been resolved. I am a
fan of James Reimer and think his ice veins are amazing for the most pressure
filled position in the most pressure filled city, but he still hasn't proven
much as a #1 goalie and you need a plan B in case he falters.
Other than
goaltending, their only other clear weakness is at the center position. Mikail
Grabovski should only be counted on as a #2 center, and Bozak, McClement and
Steckel are all bottom 6 players. This is why many believe newly acquired James
Van Riemsdyk will be used at center - a mistake in my eyes as he has never
played the position at the NHL level. The team is strongest on the wing and at
defence, even with the loss of Luke Schenn. Gardiner, Phaneuf, Liles and
Gunnarsson should be able to shoulder most of the load, and they have some
impressive young guns in Reilly, Holzer and Blacker waiting in the wings. It
will be hard for Lupul to duplicate his year, but with JVR, Kessel, and a
bounce back year from Kulemin the team shouldn't have any problems scoring.
Hopefully for Leaf fans a fresh start with Randy Carlyle can have them play a
tight defensive game to shelter their goaltenders, and Jay McClement will also
help in that regard. I have the Leafs battling for the playoffs, but finishing
just outside of a playoff spot.
Why they'll make it - Reimer posts above
.900sv%, Carlyle gets players to buy in, Kulemin bounce back
Why they'll miss - Duo of young goalies, still
no #1C
Final
Predictions
Here are my final
standings for the Northeast Division:
Boston
Buffalo
Toronto
Ottawa
Montreal
With only Boston and
Buffalo making the playoffs, and Toronto and Ottawa fighting until the end of
the season.
No comments:
Post a Comment